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Desperately seeking Irene
August 29, 2011 - Harry Eagar
THIS POST UPDATED AT END
The weather has been queer lately. Normal at my house, at least over the last 20 years, has been drought from May to Thanksgiving, with two or three wet days in 6 months.
This year, we have had rain on over half the days since early July. Not much rain, only a couple of times has the total been even a tenth of an inch. But5 very unusual.
I do not blame global warming.
The contortions of the climate alarmists have been something to see this past week. An ordinary summer storm was hyped into a coming catastrophe. It is easy to see why.
The climate alarmists really, really need a big, bad storm. And a big, bad storm that wrecks the world's communications center would be perfect.
For a while, it looked like Irene would be it. You could feel the anticipation as predictions grew that Irene (still only a mild tropical. storm) would be at least a Cat 3, or maybe even a superhurricane by the time it reached Manhattan.
Well-known climate crackpots like Bill McKibben were drawing the lessons well before the event. (From the Daily Caller: “The Daily Beast columnist says that because ocean temperatures are 'bizarrely high' this year, a hurricane that couldn’t normally maintain such a high level of intensity north of North Carolina will reach Washington, D.C. and New York while still a Category 3 storm.” When his estimate turned out to be complete nonsense, McKibben didn't back off, telling Amy Goodman that Irene was all about global warming.)
Network TV airheads were predicting a storm of “historic” size, confirming that, for TV, history extends back only to the last Neilsen ratings, since even a Category 3 Irene would not have come close to the Great Hurricane of 1938, which submerged Providence, R.I.
The reason the climate crackpots need a big storm now is obvious. If you are going to tell people a climate story, it either has to be about a place so far away that nobody will check, or it has to come true.
If you lie and say that climate change is causing droughts in Africa, Americans will not have any personal experience to expose your lie. But if you promise them that climate change is going to create more and more powerful storms, and there are not any storms where they live, they will notice.
And that's the situation now. To make up for five years of no hurricanes at all, the crackpots needed a least one big distraction.
They haven't given up hope yet. The season is just getting started, they say. True, but that has been true of every August for hundreds of years.
Charles Johnson at Little Green Footballs was so disappointed that Irene was not a disaster that he ridiculed Pat Michaels (a real climate scientist) for correctly estimating that it would not be one.
But since this is about climate, there is more than enough stupidity to go around. In New Hampshire, Ron Paul complained that the Federal Emergency Management Agency is unnecessary because:
"We should be like 1900; we should be like 1940, 1950, 1960. I live on the Gulf Coast; we deal with hurricanes all the time. Galveston is in my district.”
Well, sort of. Readers of “Isaac's Storm” will recall that before the hurricane of 1900, Galveston was the world's biggest cotton-shipping port. Now it's a seedy beach resort for downscale Houstonians with no exports at all. That's how they dealt with that one locally.
Probably RtO is seldom suspected of understating the silliness of climate alarmism, but I may have underestimated the desperation and duplicity of the crackpots who needed a big storm to erase their history of getting climate and storms so badly wrong. At any rate, a post by a climate watcher I had not encountered before, Cliff Mass, proposes that Irene was NEVER a hurricane when it touched land.
One awaits Kerry Emanuel's response.
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